The 26th International AIDS Conference convened this week in Rio de Janeiro under the theme “Rethink. Rebuild. Rise.” Instead of a traditional science conference, it became more of a real-time case study on the collapse of the global health assistance model as we know it.
Total donor funding for HIV/AIDS programmes in low- and middle-income countries is now at its lowest level in nearly two decades. According to UNAIDS, funding declined by more than US$ 1.5 billion to US$ 7.3 billion in 2025, an 18% reduction and “the lowest level in nearly two decades.”
For example, France significantly reduced its support to the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, TB and Malaria. The United States, once the leader of the global HIV/AIDS response through the U.S. President’s Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR), dropped funding from $6.7 billion to $4.6 billion.
The global health architecture we knew is deglobalizing before our very own eyes. Resurging instead are country-to-country deals. U.S. Global AIDS Coordinator Jeff Graham told delegates, the new “America First” model requires recipient governments to make financial “co-investments” of their own.
Furthermore, quid pro quo conditions such as access to critical minerals are re-entering the health diplomacy conversation for the first time in a generation. African leaders haven’t forgotten the conditionality era though, and in Rio this week, HIV/AIDS activists have openly been calling out what they described as “coercive bilateral deals.”
These changes have already impacted endemic country populations. More than 1,700+ HIV service sites have closed and 30,880 fewer children are receiving HIV/AIDS treatment in South Africa alone as a direct result of PEPFAR cuts.
Yet, new localized and innovative solutions are emerging fast. Domestic financing has already risen to roughly 59% of total HIV/AIDS funding. Moreover, the new Global AIDS Strategy target is for domestic funding to cover ~67% of total resource needs by 2030. Affected individuals and countries are increasingly turning to self-care models and community volunteers stepping in where paid staff once stood.
Scientific collaboration is being reshaped too. Industry showed up in Rio with genuine scientific breakthroughs in testing, prevention and treatment — which together will provide patients with greater choice and more ways to protect themselves.
The biggest new industry commitment came from Merck, which announced it would license an experimental once-monthly PrEP pill to generic makers in 129 countries. Even though the drug is still in late-stage trials, Merck is beginning to scale up manufacturing capacity to help ensure equitable access in Africa and India.
Clearly, pharma partnerships for life-saving medications like PrEP and antiretrovirals will be essential to help fill the global health assistance financing and support gap.
Rio ultimately made one thing clear: the old model may be gone, but the resolve to build something better is not.
– Francesca Boldrini and Rachel Bridges, Real Chemistry