Over the past year, tariffs, MFN and reimbursement pressure surfaced primarily in the earnings Q&A sessions with analysts. This quarter, several executives proactively raised these issues in prepared remarks, getting ahead of issues with details on how their business is evolving to operate in the current environment.
For example, Amgen and J&J described the adjustments each company has made relative to the policy environment, revising guidance and shifting manufacturing plans. Lilly and Novo did something similar with the Medicare GLP-1 Bridge Program, tying this federal access initiative directly to their obesity treatment numbers.
Still, other companies continue to reference MFN and/or 340B as issues to monitor rather than variables they’ve modeled. Those characterizations are likely to be tested, as payers, competitors and regulators could potentially offer numbers on these same dynamics; once data is shared, the rest of the sector is likely to be measured against it.
Looking ahead, Q3 will have a variable that Q2 did not: the U.S. midterm elections. Many companies will schedule earnings calls immediately before and after election day (November 3). The midterm cycle continues to feature drug pricing and tariff policy as campaign topics, meaning Zoom room and conference calls may see investors rub shoulders with campaign staff, committee aides and political reporters.
For this reason, language that reads as a reasonable hedge in the summer might be read differently in an inherently political autumn. Companies should expect their Q2 policy positions to be interrogated with calls for more detail. It’s now imperative to build a clear, well-supported position on issues like MFN, 340B and tariffs well in advance of that call. It’s as much of a government affairs task as an investor relations one — and something internal teams should be working on in tandem.
– Megan Hickey, Managing Director, and Leslie Isenegger, Head, Policy, Public Affairs and Access, RC Resolve