Two major employer healthcare reports released this month highlight the mounting financial pressure facing plan sponsors as they prepare for 2027.
New projections from Aon estimate employer healthcare costs will rise 9.5% in 2027, marking a fourth consecutive year of near-double-digit increases that push average costs above $19,000 per employee. Prescription drug spending remains a major driver, fueled by continued adoption of specialty medicines and GLP-1 therapies. The Business Group on Health reached a similar conclusion in its annual survey, finding that pharmacy costs are expected to be the primary contributor to rising employer healthcare spending next year.
At the center of both projections are GLP-1 medications, which continue to gain traction across a growing range of clinical indications. Together, the reports underscore that employers are faced with balancing access and long-term affordability for their benefit strategies.
That financial pressure is already influencing coverage decisions. Reporting this week confirmed that a growing number of large employers plan to scale back or eliminate GLP-1 coverage for weight loss in 2027, following the 6% of large employers who dropped coverage this year. PepsiCo joined that cohort and informed some employees that it would end coverage for weight-loss medications, citing the drugs as one of the fastest-growing costs in its health plan.
At the same time, emerging direct-to-consumer and direct-to-employer purchasing models are creating new pathways to expand access to GLP-1 therapies while offering employers greater control over costs. Continued innovation will be essential as plan sponsors evaluate coverage options and manufacturers pursue new pricing and distribution approaches.
– Megan Hickey, Managing Director